Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.183374 0.212526 0.244817 0.283243 0.327735 0.377646 0.437913
2025-07-20 0.140245 0.179955 0.228572 0.292501 0.374421 0.475991 0.611690
2025-07-27 0.117287 0.161453 0.219397 0.301037 0.413260 0.562378 0.776085
2025-08-03 0.099850 0.145552 0.208985 0.303539 0.441179 0.634710 0.928443
2025-08-10 0.085208 0.130516 0.196537 0.299872 0.457943 0.691358 1.063692
2025-08-17 0.072313 0.115771 0.181910 0.290042 0.462949 0.729700 1.174581
2025-08-24 0.065633 0.109414 0.178750 0.296725 0.493191 0.808695 1.356810
2025-08-31 0.058978 0.102067 0.172860 0.297847 0.513959 0.874140 1.523980
2025-09-07 0.053903 0.096602 0.169209 0.301905 0.539560 0.949648 1.716206
2025-09-14 0.047922 0.088752 0.160459 0.295836 0.546445 0.993253 1.856761
2025-09-21 0.043329 0.082786 0.154238 0.293362 0.559124 1.047891 2.022900
2025-09-28 0.039937 0.078610 0.150722 0.295327 0.579973 1.119229 2.228043
2025-10-05 0.038315 0.077706 0.153347 0.309592 0.626569 1.245260 2.556792
2025-10-12 0.036304 0.075800 0.153842 0.319764 0.666404 1.362934 2.883991
2025-10-19 0.034391 0.073842 0.153965 0.329099 0.705467 1.483156 3.230693
2025-10-26 0.032020 0.070623 0.151122 0.331836 0.730892 1.577926 3.534403
2025-11-02 0.029294 0.066305 0.145473 0.327825 0.741188 1.641627 3.777419
2025-11-09 0.026309 0.061054 0.137222 0.317074 0.735209 1.669124 3.941877
2025-11-16 0.025031 0.059525 0.136983 0.324383 0.770998 1.793289 4.344475
2025-11-23 0.023419 0.057027 0.134272 0.325610 0.792691 1.887538 4.687235
2025-11-30 0.022168 0.055238 0.132989 0.330049 0.822480 2.003782 5.097205
2025-12-07 0.020328 0.051798 0.127426 0.323411 0.824378 2.053411 5.346825
2025-12-14 0.018892 0.049201 0.123619 0.320706 0.835780 2.127470 5.667738